Americans who work in the government, nonprofit or education sectors are a bit more skeptical about the future of workforce automation than are Americans who work for larger corporations, many medium-sized and even some small business segments.
As was the case for their predictions related to workforce automation in general, workers in government, education and nonprofit sectors seem a bit more confident than those in the private sector that their jobs will exist in their current forms 50 years from now: 86% of these workers expect that this will be the case (including 42% who indicate that their current jobs will “definitely” exist), compared with 79% of those who work for a large corporation, medium-sized company or small business.
When it comes to their general predictions for the future of human employment and workforce automation, roughly two-thirds of Americans expect that within the next 50 years robots, advanced AI software and other forms of automation will do much more of the work currently performed by workers both blue and white collar.
Yet even as most Americans expect significant levels of workforce and job automation to occur over the next 50 years, most of today’s workers also expressed confidence that their own jobs or occupations will not be impacted to a substantial degree. Many Americans expect workforce automation to become much more prominent over the coming half-century, but relatively few of today’s workers see artificial intelligence and robots as an imminent threat to their specific job prospects.
*Combined landline and cellphone samples are weighted using an iterative technique that matches gender, age, education, race, Hispanic origin and nativity, and region to parameters from the 2013 Census Bureau’s American Community Survey and population density to parameters from the Decennial Census.
**The sample was also weighted to match current patterns of telephone status (landline only, cellphone only or both landline and cellphone), based on extrapolations from the 2014 National Health Interview Survey